Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.727997 2.876465 3.031492 3.205941 3.397390 3.601788 3.837428
2025-11-09 2.437782 2.645507 2.873069 3.142835 3.456533 3.813145 4.254106
2025-11-16 2.265267 2.504193 2.774270 3.105895 3.507472 3.985335 4.608664
2025-11-23 2.163923 2.428272 2.734860 3.122599 3.608827 4.211446 5.037322
2025-11-30 2.078625 2.361433 2.696489 3.130951 3.692516 4.414181 5.449293
2025-12-07 1.966055 2.253126 2.598449 3.054424 3.657146 4.453234 5.636356
2025-12-14 1.875776 2.166307 2.520552 2.996013 3.637492 4.506688 5.842996
2025-12-21 1.814024 2.111077 2.478198 2.979135 3.669314 4.629756 6.160886
2025-12-28 1.758165 2.060131 2.437885 2.961131 3.696149 4.744949 6.476468
2026-01-04 1.719774 2.029302 2.421384 2.973016 3.763891 4.923157 6.912228
2026-01-11 1.688728 2.006220 2.413306 2.994913 3.845935 5.127968 7.418149
2026-01-18 1.655388 1.978483 2.397271 3.003947 3.908344 5.305951 7.900799
2026-01-25 1.605576 1.928266 2.350210 2.968404 3.904253 5.381701 8.217337
2026-02-01 1.551336 1.870516 2.290884 2.912546 3.865802 5.398188 8.424858
2026-02-08 1.508764 1.826903 2.249143 2.879905 3.860742 5.469275 8.750863
2026-02-15 1.484951 1.807674 2.240194 2.894669 3.930889 5.675249 9.392123
2026-02-22 1.460244 1.786242 2.227062 2.902048 3.988876 5.864423 10.034606
2026-03-01 1.413104 1.732556 2.166358 2.834375 3.918747 5.812893 10.114927
2026-03-08 1.373359 1.688055 2.117382 2.782636 3.872245 5.801437 10.289769
2026-03-15 1.347057 1.661435 2.093066 2.767672 3.886479 5.905434 10.767868
2026-03-22 1.321773 1.635520 2.068872 2.751702 3.897717 6.004153 11.253844
2026-03-29 1.305530 1.621801 2.061857 2.762245 3.955277 6.199629 12.046790
2026-04-05 1.292586 1.612318 2.060605 2.781661 4.029385 6.436189 13.024624